Based on the 1918 model of worldwide deaths from an influenza pandemic, couldn’t there be over 133,333,333 casualties worldwide, with the brunt being, of course, in Asia, the Middle East, and Africa?
With the CDC anticipating 89,000–207,000 deaths from Avian Bird Flu in the US if the influenza goes pandemic, with 3,320 deaths in Maryland and 4,491 death in Virginia, I fear that the CDC and we Americans might be wildly optimistic. Via The Washington Post
I think its pretty low and stupidly optimistic. The CDC estimates 2-7.4 million deaths as a result of a global outbreak.
According to the CDC, “In the United States alone, the next pandemic could cause an estimated 89,000–207,000 deaths, 314,000–734,000 hospitalizations, 18–42 million outpatient visits, and 20–47 million additional illnesses”
Considering a global population north of 6,446,131,400 and the current state of public health in developing nations, lets look at the numbers from the past:
“Outbreaks of the Asian flu in 1957-58 and the Hong Kong flu in 1968-69 killed over a million people. Spanish flu killed 40 million people world wide in 1918-1919.” Financial Express
in 1918 there were 1.8 billion people, in 2005 we have over 5.4 billion people in the world. 40 million deaths from influenza in 1918 was 2% of the world population. Today, 2% of the world’s population is 133,333,333: 133 million deaths from avian flu worldwide.
Thats 133 million dead and doesn’t include the sick.
